July 16, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frat Party | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Secret | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Act of Bob | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sterling Ice | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Diamond | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Ale | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lead Director | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Tolerance | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party of No | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Way to Win | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Boy Benny | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calming Influence | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knotty by Design | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pool Side | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Best Bet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miriam’s Sky | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avie’s Mesa | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Idolize You | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Legal | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Bo | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heydon’s Case | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Spring | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Right to Strike | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sharp’s River | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Baytown Finley | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gendragon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miraculous Brew | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chairman Fox | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Gizmo | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pouroso | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Paternoster | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hyper Willy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cardiff Hall | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Scout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Valuable Pillow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moksgmol | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Martha | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Good Witch | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wake Up Maggie | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bonnie Lee | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Annie | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Anna Dream | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Very Savvy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Upstart Gentleman | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Some Mo | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cruden Bay | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan Estate | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decimator | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lumberjack | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Flint | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Icing | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Riptide Rock | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Comedy Town | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Al Heybay | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Commander Tom | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unlimited Talent | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Score | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Knopfler | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddyplaystheblues | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Self Inflicted | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Insider Trading | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Humbug | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Society Joe | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pugin | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knight Kingdom | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Chappell | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquer Him | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | White Wedding | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Newfie Express | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.