July 17, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pop a Choc | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Mybudget | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Croix Valmer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Faith | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Got Moves | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pilot Episode | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monastery Lane | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Post to Post | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cheeky Pint | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alice’s War | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Close Image | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Please | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bossalina | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crumlin Time | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Line of Vision | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz My Right | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ballade S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Sav | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Summer Sunday | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Golden Vision | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Ballerina | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ishiyaya | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Artie’s Princess | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leave It With Me | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valley Girl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling Sloan | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anita Grigio | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Gigi Go Gigi Go | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cefalo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Am I Said | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enhanced Finance | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Mamba | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tara Dawn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sol Dorado | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avie’s Boss | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Barbara | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Naha Te | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldstorm Glory | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Bombolini | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Now Is a Breeze | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sneaky Rebel | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baksheesh | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | All Canadian | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Hot | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Frog | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Fiction | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Bolt | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Four Aces High | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockcrest | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunspear | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dragon’s Brew | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yzerman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Last American Exit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Justleaveitalone | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Livin in the Six | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Richies Noble Girl | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Causeway | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Meet the Soprano | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pipestone | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enchanted Lady | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artie’s First Kiss | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gizmo’s B F F | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fiduciary (GB) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roman d’Oro | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly So Pretty | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hell N Wild | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Juxtapose | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Seeker | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Polly | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fact Checking | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nantucket Red | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jeannie’s Beepbeep | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frosty Breeze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Borders | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Shore Drive | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Azzurro | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expo | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racing in the Rain | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just Start Me Up | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Yorktown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Juan Pablo | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Holyfield | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Peace of Ekati | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Canadian Pharoah | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cerrado | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Suitedconnected | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prideofdistinction | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fire Knight | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boxer Brief | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Colonel | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Moon | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | High Heat | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trebuchet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greyshott | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deliberate | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Souper River | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Truecrest | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dawson Silver | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Punch Charlie | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | I’m Dashing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hullabaloo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.