July 18, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eddiespaghetti | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barsabas | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | State of the Union | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You’re My Boy Kat | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takeittothebank | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sip Sip Hooray | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Falcon Ex | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tee Shot | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Red Valor | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Treasure | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Self Taught | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hold Me Black | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Hedges | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camby | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Happy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Invincibella (GB) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nightlife | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loud Loud Music | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Blu | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Ballad | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Love | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anonymously | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lavender (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m the Hero | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On Deck | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Showmethemagic | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sally Stanford | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Monique | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamer Girl | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Shady | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sweet Mary | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cute Impact | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blueberry Eyes | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Fame | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Assunta | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Go Big Blue Nation | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Noguez | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scherzo (GB) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kuora (PER) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Bella Ciao | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Star of Africa | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cover Version | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Girl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jan Jan Can | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dozo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboys Daughter | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Alegria | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatterwithjewels | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illapawnie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Mistress | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Win Often | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wickerr S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Neptune’s Storm | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Homer Screen (BRZ) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bob and Jackie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Next Shares | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Plus | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Eagle | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Border Town | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bonita Leona | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ko Olina | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Busker Allie | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Showgirl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Shamrock | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Preskitt | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lilly Babe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sarsaparilla (GB) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thrilling | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liv and Let Liv | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nu Pi Lambda | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anna Fantastic | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelcents | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storming Lady | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Founder’s Day | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fantasy Heat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lenzi’s Lucky Lady | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cougar Ii S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tizamagician | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Claws | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red King | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heywoods Beach | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Contagion | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Campaign | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Burgoo Alley (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Emily | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’thelpfallin (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Javanica | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Diva | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bleu Ballon | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carpe Fortuna | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cider Apple (GB) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Greta (GB) | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get On the Bus | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Styledome (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flowers for K K | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Absolute Scenes (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.