July 18, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mizzona | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simply Mysterious | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modus Operandi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finding Perfection | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | H Is Just a Number | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finest Jewel | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Future Games | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beau’s Beauty | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Jewel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salty Candy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abraxas | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heehaa | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hit This Town | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Society | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Size It | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet Speed | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Topper | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Hans | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aim for the Sky | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Torontotoro | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Curlin | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ritmo de Cueca (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parmigiano | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seau | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Mason’s Gamble | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tomcat Black | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Priceless Will | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Muskoka Giant | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wheres My Halter | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | James Bay | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ante Up Alex | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bokermin | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Perfect Crime | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shakoo Makoo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Executive Search | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ima Beast | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Friends | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Millennium Force | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Dahlia | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Drift | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunsprite | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Del | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Systemic Risk | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Feelthebeat | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stylish Gent | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ironstone | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Hey Mickey | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Thrill of the Day | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mentoring | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heat Merchant | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wicked Crazy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild River Wolf | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pot Committed | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lithuanian King | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Ramblin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Connaught Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avie’s Flatter | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gray’s Fable | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Poet | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Runner | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap It to Win | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proven Strategies | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Stone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Taos (FR) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corduroy Road | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Ride | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Threshold | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lapochka | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carmenootz | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coleyville | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desolator | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gigantic Breeze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Full Extreme | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Old Chestnut | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roaring Forties | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Wedgewood | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marten River | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clear Destination | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Entry to Heaven | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Jimmie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honey Won’t | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forester’s Fortune | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alicia’s Kid | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lookinatamiracle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strike a Beat | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artie My Boy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Eclipse | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grazely | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flex | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Siakam | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Liars Club | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Load | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jmr Pure Sensation | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L’Etat (GER) | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Westlodge Intrigue | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkle Sammy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factoring | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ima Daredevil | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Ariel | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grateful Praise | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Poem | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hassah (GB) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Flirt | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Express Banking | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Floki | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avie’s Sky | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ride the Wind | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Musical Ride | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Gizmo | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Lynn | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reload the Bank | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A. A. Fast Lida | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Invasion | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Fuji | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ms. P’s Bella | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Leaveyoubreathless | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Miah | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.