July 21, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bbs Rosecolorglasses | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Eyes That Guy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coco Moon Eagle | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unforgettable Stoli | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ttt Cowboy Boot | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fireball Cartel | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cashs Kue Ball | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zoom N Outside | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shez Magic | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dumb Country | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chief Knockahoma | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tf Dynastys Runaway | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jettin Miss Dee | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamondinthefront | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Games Leaving You | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassi Stoli | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gpf One Sweet Patsy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jp Jess Cartel | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bugs Streakin Dash | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jla Pistolpackinjack | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shez Pollitical | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heza Piloto | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ms Cruzin Fast | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shes a Cartel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tf Runaway Kate | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tears Or Rain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | No Key Needed | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ttt Kas I Shine | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First in My Class | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dashn for Moonlight | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Like Bux | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pats Lecacy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tg Onehondred Stars | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bcl Rabbit Lee | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Girl Is Fast | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Eye Opening Gal | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tf Runaway Toast | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Dash of Carter | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Lil Streak | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gf Wild Thoughts | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passme Game | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kk Make Desires | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Gone | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jess Mae Be Blue | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jess Corona Blue | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Fancy Corona | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Blacks Game | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jb Jessthinkingofyou | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bc Stormin Da Bank | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Canelo Bok | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tacit Like T | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rkm Jet Black Perry | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Couture | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tdz Open Mia Corona | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Favoritfire | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Streak N Jet | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Chicks Special Doc | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Jesstice for All | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Jess Tac It | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Jj Tres Seis | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Streakin Train Perry | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Bayou Ez | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Shes a Duponte Chick | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Passionate Paris | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tf One Sweet Secret | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfectly Perry | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Political Toast | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Game Kue | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobos Ride | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Bakers Legacy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | When Eagles Fly | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Im Moonin Too | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jessa Freightliner | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lil Boy Blue | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Son of a Rogue | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet N Sassy Jetta | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Five Bar Joy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rocket Dash Wrangler | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ur Louisiana Blue | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spartocus Jr | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Ticket On Fire | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jess Perry a Corona | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Bleu | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.