July 24, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Bellaspina | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Little Miss Cat | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Humble Beginnings | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Pesaro | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | The Twelfth | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Outclass | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Sea Fret | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Meet the Tenor | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Silent Fire | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | War Bomber (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Funiculi | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Righteous Robbie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Abstemious | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Magic Conquest | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Carrobio | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Super Duper | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Is There a Forest | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Seamialaugh | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Hit and Run | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | La Princessa Polly | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Quiet Ascot | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Divine Genesis | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Wave Baby | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Artie’s Storm | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Maximus Momentus | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tycoon | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Meyer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Fifth Season | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | British Royalty | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Exceed | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Dancers Ghost | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
10 | 10 | Green Fleet | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Kid Forester | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Jacobs Call | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Mr Narcissistic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Better Boogie | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Secret Reserve | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Keen Samurai | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | King of Awesome | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Itmakesmewonder | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Nassau S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Jolie Olimpica (BRZ) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Abscond | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Honey Cake (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Crystal Glacier | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Another Time | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Our Secret Agent | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Abby Hatcher (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Tappitty Tappitty | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Sunset Kiss (GB) | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
12 | 12 | Merveilleux | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
11 | 11 | Royal Wedding | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Souper Watson | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Giant Critic | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | There’s No Joe | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Lucas n’ Lori | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Shangassah | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Accessible | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Tricky Magician | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Matinee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Mambointheforest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Veloce | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Money Printer | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Hit the Point | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Opus North | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Enchant Me | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Go Take Charge | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Spike | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Zephyrtizer | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Art of Almost | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Oceans of Love | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Gun Society | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Afleet Katherine | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Silent Tango | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | A Broken Breeze | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Stop Who’s That | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Beyond My Dreams | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tourist’s Dream | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Jelgo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Benlion | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Star Scholar | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Verrazano Legacy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Pride and Passion | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Wenjack | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Doc Fishman | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Dr. Green | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.