Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 25, 2021

July 25, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tranquility Base 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sumerian Bell 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Kitten’s Solution 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 6 Distinct Passion 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mas Chikilin 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 Spanish Express 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Whiskey Victor 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Yzerman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Let’s Have Fun 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Out Atthe Speedway 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Asha Ironborn 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Silent Dixie 2.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Jill 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Flawless Pink 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Cassie’s Rainbow 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Hidden Identity 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 So Elusive 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 6 November Fog 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Dejas Too 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 3 Spider Belle 8.00 4 8-1
6 4 Ivy’s Star 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Call Her Joey 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kentucky Fan 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mia At Midnight 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Court Return 0.80 2.5 5-1
7 7 Shedat 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bayou Belle 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Stormy Derby Day 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Rapunzel’s Dream 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Teacher’s Pet 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Trish the Dish 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Hanchy 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Slydini 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Take Chargechristy 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Starlight Ridge 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Twomanyshots 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fay Dan 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 King Causeway 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 English Conqueror 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Reliability 6.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Finalist 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 See Forever 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Bode’s Tipsy 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 U S Navy Cross 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Flame Zapper 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Muchokova 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Argentium 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Piven 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gigantic Breeze 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Wheat King 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Forester’s Turn 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Dotted Line 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Where’s Anthony 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Niagara S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 March to the Arch 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 Belichick 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Admiralty Pier 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Woodbridge 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Sir Sahib 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Theregoesjojo 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Mnemba Island 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Primo Touch 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Current 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Canola World 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Half Lit 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Impressive Speed 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Coltons Dream 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Best and Final 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Butteronmytie 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Happy Hour Special 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Over the Hills 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bequia 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Who Says 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Sweet Serenade 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Perseverancia 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Jean’s Reward 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Candy Garden 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Smarty Illusion 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Buttered Toast 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Flaxen 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dani’s Victory 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Miracle Silver 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Seventyseven Stone 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Amberwood 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Forester’s Destiny 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Nevaeh’s Valentine 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Piccadilly Beau 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Duke of Miami 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 7 Melrose Star 6.00 2 4-1
7 5 Carpe Horseshoe 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ballrooms of Mars 3.00 3.4 6-1
12 8 English Shirl 10.00 3.7 7-1
13 9 Fourteen Days 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Arriviste 10.00 5 9-1
14 10 Jokers Run 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 6 Taquanyah 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 4 Careless Heiress 20.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Practical Gizmo 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pemberley 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Burlap 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cedar Valley 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Silenzio 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 No More Fences 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sonja’s Joy 30.00 10.3 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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