July 25, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tranquility Base | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sumerian Bell | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Solution | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Distinct Passion | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mas Chikilin | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spanish Express | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Victor | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yzerman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Have Fun | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out Atthe Speedway | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asha Ironborn | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Dixie | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jill | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Pink | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cassie’s Rainbow | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hidden Identity | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | So Elusive | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | November Fog | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dejas Too | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Spider Belle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ivy’s Star | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Her Joey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Fan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mia At Midnight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Court Return | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shedat | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Belle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Derby Day | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapunzel’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Teacher’s Pet | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trish the Dish | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hanchy | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slydini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Take Chargechristy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starlight Ridge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Twomanyshots | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fay Dan | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Causeway | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | English Conqueror | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reliability | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Finalist | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | See Forever | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bode’s Tipsy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U S Navy Cross | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flame Zapper | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muchokova | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Argentium | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Piven | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gigantic Breeze | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wheat King | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forester’s Turn | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dotted Line | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Anthony | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Niagara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | March to the Arch | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belichick | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Admiralty Pier | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodbridge | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Sahib | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Theregoesjojo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mnemba Island | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Primo Touch | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Current | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Canola World | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half Lit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impressive Speed | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coltons Dream | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best and Final | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Butteronmytie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Hour Special | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Over the Hills | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bequia | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Who Says | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Serenade | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perseverancia | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jean’s Reward | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Garden | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Illusion | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buttered Toast | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flaxen | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dani’s Victory | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Silver | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seventyseven Stone | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amberwood | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forester’s Destiny | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piccadilly Beau | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Miami | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Melrose Star | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Carpe Horseshoe | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballrooms of Mars | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | English Shirl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Fourteen Days | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arriviste | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Jokers Run | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Taquanyah | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Careless Heiress | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Gizmo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pemberley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Burlap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cedar Valley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Silenzio | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | No More Fences | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sonja’s Joy | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.