July 29, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Civil Suit | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Addiction | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coal Shaft | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flat Out Joy | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Blend | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jamminjl | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yellow Dress | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scotish Star (ARG) | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stellar Sound | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acting Out | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Vita | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Star | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Rager | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Babe’s Got Appeal | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Sisters | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big News Coming | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island Flight | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Plum | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | So Very Smart | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Livin’ At the Bu | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supersonic Flyer | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roses for Life | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iconic Storm | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Irish Heatwave | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Premio | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Storm Risen | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blameless | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keystone Field | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cono | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of Speed | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onenightstandards | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Madame Barbarian | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chollima | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grazen Honor | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Your Royal Coil | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kirsch Truffle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A J Rock | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Island Life | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zillinda | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stradari | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Riddle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | American Bourbon | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frazzled | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cecile’s Chapter | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St Helena | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasingserendipity | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feathers (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Sexy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Article | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’s Girl | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Did I Stutter | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ginja | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mystify | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Peridot | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last First Kiss | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Dime | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Peaky Blinder | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Starship Sky | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Memorable | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Over Attracted | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brittle and Yoo | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navy Queen | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Listen to Blue | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prance | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mulligan | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Buy Wave Buy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avisse | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.