Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 6, 2021

August 6, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Imperial Moon 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Misty’s Banshee 1.60 2.5 5-1
1 1 Moon Biz 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 Hashtag Lucky 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Bella Thyme 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Rona 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Peace Out 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Fox 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mavilus 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Acadian Girl 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Imagine Victory 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mineshaft Magic 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Car Lady 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shemademelucky 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 5 Sweet Talia 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Six o’Clock Sarah 1.80 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tanka Tough 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Magic in Me 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Click to Confirm 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 No More Mask 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 My Dream Girl 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Coral Summer 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Mayfield of Dreams 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Love My Cat 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Dixie’s Fascinator 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Bob’s Lady 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Sara Plain N Tall 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Smart Entry 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Bellatora 20.00 8.7 17-1
12 11 Peachy Between Us 15.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Tistaahal 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Vesper 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Ciarrai Abu 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Revolutionary Road 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 3 Savagery 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Air On Fire 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Awesome Buzz 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Day the Music Died 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Phantom Ro 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 4 Nova Boy 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Victory Element 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wonder In 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King Bubble (IRE) 1.40 1.6 3-1
7 6 Crazy Kater 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bahama Channel 6.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Uhwarrie Sky 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Gio Dude 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Speed Game 8.00 6.7 13-1
12 9 The Quantico Kid 10.00 7.3 14-1
10 8 Jammer 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Always Forgiven 30.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Charging Lion 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Brutus 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Bobby Two Times 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ran Char 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tweet Away Robin 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 3 Joyful Noise 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Magical Luna 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Blitchton Lady 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Eloquent Lady 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Windrush Karma 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Expect the Sunrise 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Digital Dream 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Notion Interruptus 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Flava’s Dream 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Union Betty 15.00 5.1 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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