August 13, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lea Ro | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Afficionado (FR) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Codrington | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nymue’s Treasure | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Bit Good | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Noble Intentions | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classy of Course | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jost Sayin | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Fiorella | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr Mac Quhae | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boggiemiester | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Invasion | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Boy Tizzy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Juan | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Euphoria Star | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Freccia d’Argento | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flourishing | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosy Apple | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Solar Girl | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Trouble | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flor de Plata | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mandate | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Commission | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halo’s Dance | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blakenstein | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Beast Goes On | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jupiter Blues | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barrel Proof | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Astray | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katz a Dream | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Red Wind | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chips and Salsa | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Me as I Am | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Morning Colors | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capture the Genie | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theuncapturedlady | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Gold | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Jae | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Uptown Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alexandra Am I | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Liesel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Anonymous Source | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Kimberly S | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Strategy Queen | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Provision | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Party | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome Racer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madeforsummer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tora Lora Lora | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devilette | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Temerity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Centsless Drama | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kahiko | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Thought | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Choose to Be Happy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Babe | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Extravagant Rosie | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Tunes | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Star | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rough Entry | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Front Loaded | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncork the Bottle | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gangly | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bellavia | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Septemberten | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ziggy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backchat | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal War | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Admiral Truffles | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Honesto | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unimpeached | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smart Soldier | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidons Myth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Proud Contender | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.