August 22, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cardio Princess (JPN) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vantarsi | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Bird | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silent Ghost | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Culatello | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Bombolini | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tarantula | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Elegance | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Brew | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tappitty Tappitty | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amniarix | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Grace | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosebud’s Hope | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Wedding | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peace Seeker | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen’s Speed | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Juxtapose | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grey Seal | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mademoiselle Nova | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Dream | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Say Hey (FR) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Friends | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Garter | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gloriannia | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Her Joey | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caira | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia At Midnight | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 13 | Lookin to Strike | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lucky Curlin | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Lapochka | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sir Seamus | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solidify | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eskiminzin | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring Forties | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Embolden | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cash Dividend | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Striking Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Silent Jimmie | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wedgewood | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dun Drum | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Entry to Heaven | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tourist’s Dream | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Spin | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Max | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Green | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Eddie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | More Chances | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Northern Conquest | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arquebus | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Executive Giant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Liars Club | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Regal Intent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hiatus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mad Dog N Joe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Arafat | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deliberate | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ontario Colleen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Misspell | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Flash Drive | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Get It | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speightstown Shirl | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seasons | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Souper Sweet | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perseverancia | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salty as Can Be | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Maxy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ten Hats | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Avie’s Sky | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kerics Beauty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Overstate | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Divine Genesis | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Reload the Bank | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wicked Miah | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jolene Jolene | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sky Candy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Juan Pablo | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taos (FR) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Causeway | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Sahib | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pleasecallmeback | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Redoute’s Light | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shangassah | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Self Inflicted | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Illusion | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Battle of Yorktown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Admonish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Artistico | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Native Prince | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jegos Fire | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dance Smartly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mutamakina (GB) | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Etoile (FR) | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Debbie | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alnaseem (GB) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Court Return | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merveilleux | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Katherine | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Queen’s Plate S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Haddassah | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Munnyfor Ro | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Avoman | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riptide Rock | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keep Grinding | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harlan Estate | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Safe Conduct | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dance Some Mo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | H C Holiday | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tidal Forces | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take a Chance | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Take Charge | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Derzkii | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Highlander S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Turned Aside | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Chestnut | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caravel | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Boy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiralty Pier | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Poet | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Won’t | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 10 | Fascination | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Frankel At Ascot (FR) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Protect | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Admiring | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Serenade | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Coasting Away | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Confident | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Delight | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Who Says | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Candy Garden | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itskathiesluckyday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vivid Vixen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Transient (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Buttered Toast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cappy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Shore Drive | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Torontotoro | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Diffley | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desolator | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wave Baby | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muchokova | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | See Forever | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danfusi | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Win d’Oro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Holyfield | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.