August 28, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Essence | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aliyah’s Action | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Path | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Popthechampagne | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elfin Forest | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roses Little Girl | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Tia Regis | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Starlight Ridge | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Take the Gold | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Very Savvy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hai Bobbi | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asha Ironborn | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Winyah Bay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Red Equinox | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Half Lit | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bullet Speed | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Virreinato | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Scout | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jax Elite Win | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Last Sensation | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Willow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Predator | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Daddy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blast in the Snow | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tape to Tape | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Super Lunar | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belentime | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loaded Sniper | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trebuchet | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spiral Storm | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sensible Portions | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesomecrest | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justalittlehyper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swoop to Finish | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Join the Dance | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Lady | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Everyday Magic | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Sting | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizz Gemma | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guileful | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie Amor | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hallanvaara | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paperback Hero | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flex | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Way to Win | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Search Of | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gendragon | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Komunist | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highland Jax | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Little Artie | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pool Side | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bequia | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cappy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Transient (GB) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tranquil Sky | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buttered Toast | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Umneyaat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vivid Vixen | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bison City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Speedy | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Il Malocchio | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emmeline | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cielo d’Oro | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Marie | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Youens | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Question | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frame This | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thatsmykindanight | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Croix Valmer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benny’s Button | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Got Moves | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Old Secrets | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Modus Operandi | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Magic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzona | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hassah (GB) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Poem | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rince Tapaigh | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Finding Perfection | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Line of Vision | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hold the Applause | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.