September 4, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Comedy Town | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Sandy Bay | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Aim for the Sky | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Speedy Bolt | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Miracle Silver | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Checkerboard Floor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Stribling | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Artie | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Dynamite Duke | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Saskatchewan | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Chunky Monkey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Newport Agent | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Absolutist | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Racing in the Rain | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Sararenda | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | The Good Witch | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Rolling Sloan | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Someone Else | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Under the Eye | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Sea Anna Dream | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Sadie Irene | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Flat Out Vixen | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Lady At Blame | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Bahia Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Chasing Shadows | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | In My Opinion | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Secrets Told | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Daredevil Is Back | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Using Coconuts | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Believing | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Shan’s Tiger | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Frosted Folly | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Kiddie Holiday | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Double Saw | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Bossy Holiday | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Hunt Master | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Forittable | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Anselmo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Sailor’s Passion | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | I’m a Chi Too | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Redoute’s Light | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cerrado | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 9 | Piccadilly Beau | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Moon Over Montana | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Downy Boy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Epilogue | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Suitedconnected | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Artistico | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | First Spring | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
10 | 10 | Seventyseven Stone | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Hazelbrook | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Beat the System | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Imagery | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | West Paw | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Hard Street | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Piquet | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Red Equinox | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Stokes | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Silver Dahlia | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Enchanted Lady | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Pound Green | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Long Pond | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ritmo de Cueca (ARG) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | I’m Dashing | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | One Punch Charlie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Decimator | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Executive Search | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Carl G | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
10 | 10 | Tycoon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | High Heat | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Anyquist | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Gina | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Strega | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Loaded Vixen | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Classic Queen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Way of Life | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Luz de La Luna | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Intro | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Rapunzel’s Dream | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
10 | 10 | Text Me Up | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Stormy Derby Day | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Gea | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Stormy Vision | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Cool Society | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Tara Dawn | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Capable | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Cefalo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Hanchy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.