September 11, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chardonnay | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Sassy | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia Darling | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t She a Pistol | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Center Stage | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inside Risk | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | E J’s Revenge | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Americano | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfetto | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won Dozen Banks | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chalk Hill | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Somethingandchange | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s Mizzen Bags | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amunet | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heart of Savino | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Five Star Phil | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Sea Ketch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Reel Well | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Speed Dialer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Braces | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Arlo Bello | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Run On the Trail | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Maybe It’s Time | 15.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wine to Roses | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Kantharos | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Casimira | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karma Is Golden | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clairensam | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luckbealadytonight | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Annielino | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helens Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Officer Country | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lamplighter Jack | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Captain Thunder | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Equal Justice | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Roaring River | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tankerville | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Pay the Kid | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sarasota Boy | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Resident Liberal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | My Candy Biz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | David’s Prospec | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kamehameha | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Striking Chrome | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sammie Sunshine | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reina La Kelsy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Rules | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | That Is Key | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Gundin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Ann | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Grace | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flyingontheground | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olive Kat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baci | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whispurring Kitten | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catsoutofthebag | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skamania | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Proper Manners | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Purrs Well | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiang | 1.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Fire Within | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Chitu | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freud Wind | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violet’s Brother | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confusion | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oulog | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.