September 11, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fax | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire d’Rocket | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanford | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silk War | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neotropic | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What Does It Take | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lacco Ameno | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Happy | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Mojo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ever Clear | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Snow | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fomo | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Billingsgate | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dashing Circles | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Badger Tooth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Getting Lucky | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thinking | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Home Dixie | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Global Ambition | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vibrancy | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Fox | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My My Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rooney | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfume River | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Color Crush | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sally’s Mustang | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Indian Nichols | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Jazz | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proper Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Petticoatsnpistols | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Algodonal | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Killmain | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caterina One | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Something Magical | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Hearts | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eifs | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 4.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Out | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Grace Isabella | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | R True Sensation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nellysford | 3.50 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honorable Lilly | 6.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Laughin’ Place | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butter Pecan | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missing My Point | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mick’sbestbetyet | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devilish Affair | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Wildcat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hufflepuff | 2.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dance Warrior | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betcha by Golly | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unshakable U | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Minding Millie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ides of March | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bethabara | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Serenade a Kitten | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beckon | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backstreet Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Traffic Song | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Forever Dreaming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Deciding Vote | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No Ordinary Time | 3.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Love You | 4.50 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fortune’s Fool | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robey’s Boy | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Commander | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valued Notion | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Karan’s Notion | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papal Law | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ziggy Mon | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Arion | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Matta | 2.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nothing Better | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Roamie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bear Treasure | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayano | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lifespan | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand My Ground | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muchacho Macho | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zip the Lip | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pet’s Night | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.