September 11, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Robin | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatterwithjewels | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Window | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vidalia | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Little Tiger | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tribal Bid | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Glorious | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Traffic Stopper | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | House of Targaryen | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Gigi | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back Beauty | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Sunset | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Croix | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For My Brother | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goddess Aphrodite | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | D K’s Crown | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Reedley | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stay Happy | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sokudo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Older Brother | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coil to Strike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Democrat | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cognac Cat | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Veteran | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Mischief | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Durango | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paul Vincents Poem | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eighteen Maverick | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flactem Legacy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kind But She Lies | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grigoro | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big News Coming | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Medusa’s Gaze | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Sweet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Tigress | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Into Classic | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Admiral Aeschbach | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Allwinedup | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sip Sip Hooray | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw Daisy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Daniel’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Areeb | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Game | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Fabulous | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Righteously | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Cover Charge | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dozo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swift Nonni | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Li’l Grazen | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kamui | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elevado | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marco Polo | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Khantaro d’Oro | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fight On Ron | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quintecents | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curly Esa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sir London | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.