September 13, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mizshipman | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everybody’s Pal | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Jumper | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shetalkstomuch | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maryevil | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Savage | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wanna Be Regal | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flatexcel | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worth His Salt | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jones Taxi | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderfully Tuned | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Haven | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Special | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dramatized | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uptown Shoes | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Do It My Way | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Crossing | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinna Fash | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master of War | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me G Q | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impossebull | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Flight Risk | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boat Over the Hill | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Robert | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Finglas | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Legacy’s Prince | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Diamond Square | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shiloh Lane | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Two Kid | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Diesel | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rittenhouse | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Social Equality | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Longtail | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Icy Dude | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Fitzroy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wentz | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hockey Puck | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senior Investment | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bird King | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreams Untold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borracho | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Social Group | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Auchincruive | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Passport | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Hero | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ventriloquism | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deckology | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overbold | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Philly Special | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Chocolate | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch My Vibe | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sophos | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Say I Play | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Inspired Options | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Hydrated | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imagine This | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nine Toe Johnny | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bavaria | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Jude | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Express | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Chateau | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fortheluvofbourbon | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Violent Turbulence | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tringale | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesawithme | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Infuriated | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Midtowncharlybrown | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always Sunshine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Arch Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Hollywood Overdogs | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | El Dulzura | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clear Prosperity | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Italian | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ask Chuck | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Royal T | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kid Mac Cool | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rockin Cowboy | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ironbound | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.