September 18, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bella Bettina | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zeldaborne | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Distance Love | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Love Magel | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Island Philo | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moon Biz | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Looks Don’t Lie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mexicali Rose | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Look What I Found | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tidal Waters | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capstone Girl | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Discreet Dominique | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Who Knows What | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mosler’s Touch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Always Something | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sick Pack Sara | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hashtag Lucky | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Factorintheheat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Girl Named Jac | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Assume | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Kokachin | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Tap Dance | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boat Money | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Zeta | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kobe’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sapphire Beauty | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miz the Best | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Click to Confirm | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic in Me | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skylar’s Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cost a Fortune | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Weathervane S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fifteen Royals | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coconut Cake | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Praise and Honor | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Enough Time | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Beautiful | 0.40 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Heaven | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elusive Jester | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Rod | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jack Gave Back | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point of Grace | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strolled On By | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Robert’s Luxury | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fermat | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gator Bite | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dream Big Dreams | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | This Ill Defend | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Especiallea | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Twixt S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Off Topic | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Leslie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artful Splatter | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Villanelle | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Darn Hot | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Josie | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Dynamic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamalildreamofu | 2.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Orb | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | E. P. Milton | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleeting Atte | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greylover | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General’s Duty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Trash Talkin Larry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Clouds of White | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tiger to Remember | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vandalia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tapit Brio | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Commander Biz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Consultant | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Epic Rise | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rookieoftheyear | 6.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wonder Water | 4.50 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Stock | 5.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jardani | 2.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | War Tocsin | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey and You | 30.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laki | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalu | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jalen Journey | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wondrwherecraigis | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Polynesian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alwaysmining | 8.00 | 0.6 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Bombastic | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roadster | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phat Man | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McElmore Avenue | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cordmaker | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tappin Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sparkle Sprinkle | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beneath the Stars | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Gracie | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toy Tiger | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Tappy Tim | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Mo Better | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maestria | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Belle | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Joseph | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Power Back | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock the Boat | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Railmaster | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Threes | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sue Loves Barbados | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky’s Not Falling | 1.80 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Pere | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.