September 18, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ride the Wind | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frame This | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fourteen Days | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nero Davola | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seamialaugh | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loaded Question | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marais | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Simple Souvenir | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Secrets | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trading Bay | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Borders | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Free Shipping | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City Legend | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Eagle | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lomaki Force | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midway Mischief | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enchant Me | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maritime Mission | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Spin | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bolu | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Canadian S. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Court Return | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Dragontea (GB) | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merveilleux | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Secret Agent | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barkin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Richies Noble Girl | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starlight Ridge | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | She’s Got Moves | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Beast | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Dahlia | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asha Ironborn | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winyah Bay | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hai Bobbi | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takota | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Drift | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mrs. Del | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Lynn | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Teacher’s Pet | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speightstown Shirl | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antigone | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Pledge | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pilot Episode | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fairywren | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen’s Speed | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gloriannia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grey Seal | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Friends | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Musical Ride | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Takingtimeoff | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Bodacious Miss | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fast Feet | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lament | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hagemeister Park | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapper Zapper | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thrill of the Day | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lithuanian King | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brutality | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Innuendo | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ethnic Soul | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Soul | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desolator | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Hero | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | There’s No Joe | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Silver | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lomaki’s Gem | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Torontotoro | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Oath | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Chance | 8.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Threefiftyseven | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | See Forever | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Bolt | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Just Like Larry | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Way | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stylish Gent | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Alfredthefirst | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shambo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Honor | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Repeat the Heat | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Winston Blue | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Play | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Arkle | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Anselmo | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Beast | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Sky | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Coo Bird | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pattison Canadian International S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Corelli | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walton Street (GB) | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Encounter (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fantasioso (ARG) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Parkway | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belichick | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | English Conqueror | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Primo Touch | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ricoh Woodbine Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Set Piece (GB) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Bull (FR) | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ride a Comet | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Space Traveller (GB) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olympic Runner | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | March to the Arch | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avie’s Flatter | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Town Cruise | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Change of Control | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Speedy Hans | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Solidify | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reconfigure | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie’s Gamble | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Jimmie | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Souper Success | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Western Trouble | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Embolden | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forester’s Turn | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dotted Line | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | High Heat | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Kid Forester | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Icing | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper River | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tycoon | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kawacatoose | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Way | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Tom | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jocularity | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Overload | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flying Curlin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr Narcissistic | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.