September 19, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Billy Yank | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frozen Assets | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Einstein | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Texas Tom | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Dude | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highjump Charlie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Texas Playboy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overstated | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neverenoughcoco | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Triple Jeopardy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Leonardo | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alado | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Braccio Di Ferro | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caramel Chip | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palemma | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maker of an Empire | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rebelde | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Create Again | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Duke | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Ride | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Hawk | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Eclipse | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fuego Caliente | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Romario | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tropicat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Ron | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Henry’s World | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Amster | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Citrus Burst | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breakthrough | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | J D’s Vista | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bright and Shiny | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Science | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cresta Celerina | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marimba | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Undercover Outlaw | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Sofi | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trinni Girls | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mavi | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paloma Mia | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luna Amarilla | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Turning Pointe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cajun Spice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Senorita Salsa | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Beauty | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Express Pharoah | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marisa’s Mission | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy But Smart | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kramden | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Farm Strong | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Stride | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buffalo Max | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power (BRZ) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ziggy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dos Vaqueros | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Choice | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Redjack | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Menelik | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line of Honor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Teufles | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Sniper | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Give Me Two Steps | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Louder Than Bombs | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Matters | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Robintakincharge | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Causalistic | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gemonteer | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sovereign Warrior | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shananies Paynter | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bimini | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nationalist | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovelorn Lady | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Possible Dear | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Enough | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa’s Little Girl | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extravagant Rosie | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raspberry Ballet | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Decision | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Jaguar | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timmy M. | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Small Hope | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Farley | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Trump Kitten | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gran Malbec | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Italian Charm | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Til the End | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.