September 19, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chairman Fox | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Mountain | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Start Me Up | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adelaide Court | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Virreinato | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Music Tribute | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Boy Christian | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Band Coming | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cardiff Hall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amazima | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roman d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Grace | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosebud’s Hope | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toffen | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Peacock | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Wedding | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeannie’s Beepbeep | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Racing S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Diamond City | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feelthebeat | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | San Costantino | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Way Out | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Runner | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sir Seamus | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lapochka | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | White Flag | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Told It All | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinatamiracle | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Armistice Day | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Diffley | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Marten River | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Senor Jobim | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honey Won’t | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Destination | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Secret Reserve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Essential Bella | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Menagerie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Breathing Fire | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majesticimpression | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Souper Flashy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demogorgon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Load Abroad | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allpaidup | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Loaded Secret | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreams and Schemes | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sneaky Rebel | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosie Amor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ya Mar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | We’ve Had Enough | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Join the Dance | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skylerville | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Street | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Speaker | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Orchid | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hallanvaara | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy Is a Breeze | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gormley Girl | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | From Above | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Woodbine Cares S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fulminate | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derrynane | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dufresne | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifth Anniversary | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Touring | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forest B | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Bombolini | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Natalma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Eminent Victor | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pizza Bianca | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Lady | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Beauty (GB) | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs. Barbara | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diabolic (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cardio Princess (JPN) | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Engagement | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baksheesh | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guileful | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Summer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | First Empire | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dripping Gold | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grafton Street | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Degree of Risk | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heat Merchant | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Legacy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Albahr (GB) | 1.40 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luckman | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready for the Lady | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Combative | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nashtrick | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last American Exit | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Executive Search | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silence Breakers | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Classy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icomefromdowntown | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Predator | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Frosty Breeze | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Scholar | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Expo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | In All Alone | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truecrest | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buttered Toast | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loaded Sniper | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arquebus | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blast in the Snow | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hullabaloo | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dydyk | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spiral Storm | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.