September 21, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Good | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nico Bree N Teej | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Roma | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D T Goodie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kristi’s Copilot | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Date | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Verrazano Vittoria | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harbour Way | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Azteca | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’smyrisenstar | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atlantic Avenue | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chancee | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Explain | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Run | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Quality | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Tree | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saponara | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Zrada | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Method | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Reach for Thestars | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holiday Raid | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Time Sensitive | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cape Elizabeth | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Everybody’s Pal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Altenita | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sky Queen | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wanna Be Regal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystical Charge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ananroad | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alfatei | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start Meee | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jw’strickymischief | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Screen Saver | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Harbour | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Doda | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eleazar | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Thought | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Ernie | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danzafied | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dollarization | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meet Me At Mundis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Sisi | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Princess Runaway | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Venezuelan Talent | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Finest Work | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Eight Danzas | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cajole | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | R Girl Faith | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nyssa | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anghaam | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | A Bit Bad N Boujee | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arrivederci | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luxury Suite | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of a Saint | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oldfashioned Club | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Espresso Caliente | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King’s Gold | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob’s My Uncle | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Elvis | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Neighborhood Bully | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dial to Win | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stand by You | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mundle of Joy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shining Colors | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B B’s Rocket | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incomparable | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Other Things Equal | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Silver Dagger | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trilogy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kingsville | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Missionatthespa | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Abdaa | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silver Fury | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nileator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Get the W | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Borsa Vento | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Bad Bud | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moon Gate Warrior | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Tomater Gator | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.