September 23, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Greatest Glory | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Look Up to Heaven | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kingston Queen | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stellarator | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ala Turka | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mudshaft | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetcandyfactory | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lady Younes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Uncaptured Faith | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Real Doozie | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jost Sayin | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace’s Drama | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dana Grace | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Takes Heart | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Levy Land | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Speed Stef | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alecka Star | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Ave Girl | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Success | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Future Flay | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magna Colors | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Little Nany | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Piper | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Love On the Run | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | World Gone Wild | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vivi’s Dream’s | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pretzel | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viva La Reina | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gregs Posse | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bahamian Rhapsody | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Capturini | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miss Lamarr | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Provision | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wandering | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thataint Tooshabby | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Her Lots | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kelly Bag | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Girl | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madeforsummer | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Melody | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hillbilly | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bye Bye David | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Press | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lord Darnley | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He Ain’t No Saint | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Super Triple | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Johnnie Got Jets | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Deputy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Backchat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mizzen | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Race Day Speed | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Appointed | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Glory | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Penelope | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battle Cry | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Kimberly S | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karatbars | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bronx | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Abhar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Admiral Truffles | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Big Red Style | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fortified | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheval Dore | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vicmar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Be Broken | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Asymptomatic (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Heals the Soul | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smooth Music | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Luca Drew the Ace | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.