September 24, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grace Isabella | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Out | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ran Char | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foggy Dreams | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hell in a Shell | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Ice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Wildcat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flava’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nellysford | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unaquoi | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classy Solution | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | W W Springtime | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baptize the Boy | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Bay | 0.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jovis | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stroll Smokin | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tauber | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Subject to Change | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forced | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Degas | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Mule | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard to Be Humble | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | By the Sey Shore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Qian B C | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Predicament | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ravenel | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Littlebitalily | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joyful Noise | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Ice | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calypso Ghost | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Headley | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Venezuela | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golazo | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost My Vowcher | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankee Merch | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rrace Day Warrior | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Two Times | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Lenny | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Sky Painter | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prinecess Doir | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wolverette | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enthroned | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Choice | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuff But Fair | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ms Boombastic | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold Hearted Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bay of Angels | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Yira | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Running On Entry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Perfume River | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rooney | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | She So Naughty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maggie’s Bid | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle of the North | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | By the Hour | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginamaya | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Some Is Nine | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Farewell | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Freedom | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Moquist | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’sarollingstone | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Olive’s Bumpa | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Italian Dressing | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Award Wanted | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marvella Nasty | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Fox | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fool Yourself | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Digital Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dulce Kiara | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Street | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vinny | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twice Gold | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Witty | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hampden Lane | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shady Munni | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kazu | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free Square | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dr Rags | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Bulleit | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bowie Two Step | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Materialize | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Espresso Lungo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.