Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 25, 2021

September 25, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mama Longlegs 1.80 4.2 8-1
9 9 Truly Ambitious 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Senorita Salsa 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Fabiola Princess 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Emperor’s Song 5.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Exaggerated Moment 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Shared Mischief 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Rain of Blessing 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Shouldaknownbetter 20.00 8.7 17-1
5 5 Sundance Peak 30.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Drillzilla 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 She Doesn’t Know 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mariahs Christmas 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Avant Glory 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Mr Rum Runner 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Markhamian 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Cajun Bayou 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Last Second Louie 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Khopilot 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hey Hombre 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Poseidon’s Son 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bailey 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Seazan 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Vinny Dream 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dimenna 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ensign Parker 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 R Private Jet 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Hollywood Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Barone Cesco 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Nerve 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Peter D 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Last Leaf 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Southern Breeze 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Duke Skywalker 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Run Lea Run 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Astral Ride 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Corporate Affair 50.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Onward Austin 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 R Girl’s Werth It 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr Mac Quhae 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 California Frolic 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 God Is Love 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 The Twins Sneakers 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Emigrantedesilluso 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Catatumbo 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Grabbing the Money 30.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Chrome’srisingsun 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Brother Brad 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Spring Channel 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Royal War 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Double Blessing 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Roundaboutone 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Lupino (GB) 10.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Joe Phillips 15.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Swill Merchant 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Cape Hedge 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Global Empire 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 King Force 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pongo Louie 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Wildcat Heir S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pro Quality 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Noble Drama 1.60 3.2 6-1
5 5 Well Defined 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Shivaree 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Garter and Tie 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Old Time Revival 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ranger Up 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Doctor D J 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Resident 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Uncaptured King 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Malibu Max 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Dark Ages 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Mr Tito’s 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Alastor 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Unspoiled Moments 30.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Dizzy Gillespie 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Keepsakekitten 30.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chacalosa 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Devilette 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Outfoxed 0.80 3.8 7-1
8 8 My Sassenach 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sequin Lady 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Cajun Cousin 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Veiled Prophet 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Baby Blue 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Majority Rules 3.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Suleman 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Kicks On Sixty Six 4.50 5.3 10-1
13 13 Political Riot 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Young Flint 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Joe Benjamin 5.00 6 11-1
8 8 Coltonstheadmiral 15.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Grrr 10.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Not So Easy 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Big City Red 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bach 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Traceability 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cotton Jim 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Braccio Di Ferro 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 In Honor of Artie 30.00 10.4 20-1
11 11 Big Treasure 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Octane 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Big and Classy 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Cajun’s Magic 2.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 One More Score 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 The Skipper Too 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Cattin 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Clapton 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Globes 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Fivefive Six Champ 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Gold Special 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Blazinonbayou 3.50 2 4-1
10 10 Tizofadeal 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 My Beauty Princess 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Thats All Shewrote 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Jazzy T 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tonala 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Backstretchbeauty 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Awesome Winna 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fastlife 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Syllabus 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Jaent 50.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.