September 25, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ninja Princess | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Is There a Forest | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bittersweetbizness | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Not Perfect | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden World | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shishka | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cora | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tropospheric | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Erasmo’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Society | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Endorphin Rush | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reign by Rein | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Wicked | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grazarion | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Elusive | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mia At Midnight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Samuel H | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jacobs Call | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximus Momentus | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orphan Hallie | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Newfie Express | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Time Gizmo | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddyplaystheblues | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jack | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunrise Drive | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boxer Brief | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Maple | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Executive Chairman | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Browning Island | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackie’s Pride | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beyond the Budget | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Niagara Skyline | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seventh Wonder | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ya Mar | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Culatello | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Verdejo | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Olympic Fencer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Laila’s Charm | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | At the Lyric | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Pool | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Foresters Princess | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belle Femme | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Into Empires Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Googly Eyes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Violet Jessop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shelly the Rocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dreidel | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stencil | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Fuji | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Edge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alluring Meg | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harvest | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twister Alert | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Ginger | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shez a Sealy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Duchess S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Speedy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady War Machine | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lorena | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salty as Can Be | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hazelbrook | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Munnings | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bellissime (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aug Lutes | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Souper Sweet | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jilli Marie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cleomenes | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beat the System | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Monastery Lane | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meet the Soprano | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Pecan | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Capture the Moment | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frame This | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bold Venture S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Curlin | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Dividend | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin to Strike | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Lloyd | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Man | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reconfigure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Point | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Juan Pablo | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muchokova | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Court Battle | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shangassah | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dani’s Victory | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Broadway | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Perfect Crime | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Zuma | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tricky Magician | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Small Talk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.