October 1, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Pat’s Factor | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Voltamour | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
16 | 16 | Two Princes | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Seville Row | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
13 | 13 | Crack the Safe | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
10 | 10 | Samui Sunset | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
11 | 11 | Noble Mischief | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Love Life | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Grecian Pharoah | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Strolled On By | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
1 | 1 | Eric’s Empire | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
15 | 15 | Nicky Bear | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
12 | 12 | Pauping | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
14 | 14 | Bulldog Connection | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
3 | 3 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
9 | 9 | Senor Seville | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Volnay | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Miss Tap Dance | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Devilish Affair | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Behind the Couch | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Factorintheheat | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Assume | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Stronger Than Dex | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Von Hoff | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Dathoss | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Outkissed | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Bowie Two Step | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Icy Minister | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Line Change | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Mr. Nineteen | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Royal Thunder | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Justwaveandsmile | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Visual Artist | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Ladneedsahandler | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Mosby’s Ranger | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Hushed Hijinks | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Shelly Island | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
11 | 11 | New York One | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Josef Is Real | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
14 | 14 | Rapidashqueen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Rising Perry | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | You Can Never Tell | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
12 | 12 | Dragon Moon | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
13 | 13 | Hard to Be Humble | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Tremendous | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Supporting Actor | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Dejohn | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Don’t Dare Me | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Paint Music for Me | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | El Equalizer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Al Brown | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Replicant | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Rockin Ron | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Crying for More | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Torch Carrier | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
15 | 15 | Eponine | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Gypsy’s Image | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | El Bochinche | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | El Milagra | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Candy Corner | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
16 | 16 | Zola B | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
14 | 14 | Missawlet | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
8 | 8 | Hidden Persuasion | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Hickory Made | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | X Marks the Spot | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
12 | 12 | Chelichna | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
4 | 4 | Veryan | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
2 | 2 | Nine Mast | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
13 | 13 | Mosler’s Touch | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
11 | 11 | Looking for Love | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Life Don’t Owe You | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Kenny Had a Notion | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Ziggy Mon | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Cry No More | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Stone Courageous | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Karan’s Notion | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Radical Right | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Holiday House | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Full of Mischief | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Roll Dem Bones | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
11 | 11 | Grunder’s Call | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Made to Be Lucky | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Zatip | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Trust Daddy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Auction Kingdom | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | He Gone | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Northern Aurora | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Uhwarrie Sky | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Mo Zone | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Lucky Ramsey | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Vincent Van Gogo | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
11 | 11 | Posterity | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
14 | 14 | Kikinboy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Mokheef | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Crazy Kater | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
12 | 12 | Hard Fought | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Solomonic | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
13 | 13 | Chateau de Vizille | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Donji | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
1 | 1 | Keeping the Peace | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Minister’s Strike | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.