October 7, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Forest Falcon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Mi Tormenta | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Shishka | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Nice Company | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Little Miss Cat | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Honey Girl | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Maxima Only | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Parable | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Dynamic Contrast | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Crafty Conquest | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Yola | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Dealmaker | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Bachelor Pad | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Dancing Derek | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Tall Water | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tomcat Black | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Yzerman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Better Boogie | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Cheek to Cheek | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hurricane Dancer | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ben Lomond | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Hallie’s Hero | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | Bay of Rum | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Fast Negotiations | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Blockbuster | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Rocket Plan | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Call Me Wally | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Thatnightintoronto | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Cedar Valley | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Forty Smooth | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Fionnuala | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Gwen | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Sky of Dreams | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | I’m Not Perfect | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
11 | 11 | Suspicious Minds | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Jolene Jolene | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
4 | 4 | Jolie Davina | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
5 | 5 | Total Betty | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | High Heat | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Soul Freedom | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Coltons Dream | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Souper River | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Executive Holiday | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Bokermin | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
10 | 10 | Commander Tom | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Ante Up Alex | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Highland Society | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Carmenootz | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Honey Won’t | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Silent Flash | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Salvator Mundi | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Reconfigure | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Dotted Line | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Silent Jimmie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Where’s Anthony | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
10 | 10 | Forester’s Turn | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Kiddie Holiday | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | October Frost | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Hey Mickey | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Late Surge | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Tragically Funny | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Timmins | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Lac Macaza | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Auksine Kulka | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Ethnic Soul | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Funiculi | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
10 | 10 | Breach of Trust | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Hiatus | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Blue Max | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Red Mavrik | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Newport Agent | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Arafat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Chancel | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Benlion | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Racing in the Rain | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Magic Spin | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.