October 8, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Vinny | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | James Bay | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lower for Longer (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drone Swarm | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shakoo Makoo | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pugin | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ingordwetrust | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highland Jax | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | North Battleford | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frac Attack | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party of No | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tycoon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tally Road | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poolside Manners | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thanks Laura | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Martini | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Infinite Passion | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Original Me | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zip It | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zafeather | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shazeen | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Taos (FR) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Primo Touch | 1.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Man | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Threshold | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capoeira | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mambointheforest | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Extreme | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doctor Uptown | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battle of Yorktown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Self Inflicted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Punch Hard | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bode’s Tipsy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Win d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Watson | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guestimation | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lomaki’s Gem | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finalist | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coleyville | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Argentium | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pop a Choc | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lapochka | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oceans of Love | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose’s Vision | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring Forties | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faraway Kitten | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timeskip | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Shady Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aubrieta | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Magnatized | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ya Mar | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shanghai Shamrock | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marie MacKay | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Sky | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Resent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Clarendon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bossy Holiday | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ironstone | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Resent | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Repeat the Heat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Runner | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drop a Caribou | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cefalo | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sugar Pie | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takota | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tara Dawn | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Anna Dream | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling Sloan | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Naitaka | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slydini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.