October 13, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free to Fly | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming Diamonds | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Talking | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purda Vita | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncut | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morissette | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Liz | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love On Fire | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sizzling Roma | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Cents | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Janie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Originaly From Dot | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleeterthan | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Madame Tiger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Tuttle | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Rebel | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cristiano’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lawlessness | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bucks Are Moving | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commissioner G | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Pharaoh’s City | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Monte Ne | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fran’s Worrier | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Loan Me Your Ear | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Italian | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wild Haven | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rockin Cowboy | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Out of Line | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ask Chuck | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fara’s Kid | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clear Prosperity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gia’s Fuego | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Heights | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | God Still Loves Me | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nyssa | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nickys Notion | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Daisy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Joy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Start Meee | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Green Mansions | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Louie’s Wish | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kowboy Karma | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mach Trial | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unbridled John | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Powerful Ally | 1.80 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jupi’s Lightning | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catch Fire | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Colonel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Eleazar | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Puttheglassdown | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Successful Cure | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Classy American | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Our Philly Special | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashinthenight | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Amblin Man | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dr Zrada | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lawyer Roy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jama Dillon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fore Harp | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strawberry Red | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Practical Coach | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Act of Valor | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beast Or Famine | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catch the Smoke | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Jr | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Dangerous Guy | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extra Crunchy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Vino Y Queso | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kirtan | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mundle of Joy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Content | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Billieanne | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pretty Spectacular | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Excitable Lady | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Imperial Moon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Shoelaces | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Her Readyeddie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Skillful | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hodler | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He Runs the Line | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Call Me G Q | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Panzanella | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Enano | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factum Love Style | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joe the Boss | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missed the Bus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Prefontaine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Fire Within | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Duck Ducky Goose | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rickie’s Melody | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cruise Control | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.