October 15, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Liam Skye | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saving Argument | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Unusual | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Humphrey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Antietam Road | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hero of the Hour | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Crush | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Influence | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shop Around | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All in Bronson | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be a Bandit | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cavatica | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two With a Ten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lea’s Princess | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Is a Bling | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ebony Bay | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diesel Jack | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Louie | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Mike No Mae | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star and a Half | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its a Deal | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luck of the Stars | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fourtoedfred | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Jr | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Festival | 2.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Results | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Son Carlos | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Half a Bite | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southpine Gift | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’rock | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freudian Sip | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Cometh | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zens Secret | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Town Drunk | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bettercalljohn | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corvette Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Buckets | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eternal Force | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sunnyonastormyday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cypress Queen | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Viv Viv Viv | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Splenda Gail | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Jane | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O Chita | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballerini | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Chick | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charged Temp | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hour City | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calculate | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Run Homer | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stephen’s Answer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pinch Assault | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovethatcause | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buxterhooter | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Victoriam | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old Indian Trick | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Popizar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Si Es Goya | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jet Sweep | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause She’s Mine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Russian Roulette | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Point of Victory | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Red Bel | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broke Financing | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Birdie Be Gone | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Friendofthecourt | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty Boy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mizspelt | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Trip | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loveu and Proudofu | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Marvin | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Palace | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Punch | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Up | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Money and Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hot Ten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Billie K | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Net a Bear | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carondelet | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snowball | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarah’s Passion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Inawic | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Romance | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pennie’s Magic | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunisa | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Social Date | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maya’s Wish | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackies Irishdream | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Is Good | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke in Your Eyes | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Furka Pass | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Astro Flash | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Peaceful | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.