October 15, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Force | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Contender | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Ninety Nine | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Give Me Two Steps | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Got Floffy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nureyev’s Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Roger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trappezoid | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scar | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe Di Baggio | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Face of Victory | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hero Tiger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jupiter Blues | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Rocker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capetown Candy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes I’m Spiteful | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Straight to Go | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pressly’s Hope | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ukiyo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cindy’s Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freezer Burn | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leyenda | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome View | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Science | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Glory | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Street | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gaga Oh La La | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lights On Girl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Maria | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Long Blade | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sovereign Warrior | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Marcelino | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Italian Charm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenacity Zip | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fuzzy Irish Rascal | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everyonelovesjames | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Baffled | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome Racer | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Puchi | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apples and Honey | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madeforsummer | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnolia Mist | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thenorthremembers | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Hawk | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thorn | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Leonardo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Padre | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hail to the Chief | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Lighting | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gangly | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Man of Vision | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Vinnie Van Go | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Squeeze | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Handsome Prince | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Frenchmen Street | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manor House | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | The Distractor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unpublished | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Katie’s Cowboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | First Rule | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Business | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Palimonium | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Speight | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Telecast | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Crusader | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gatorater | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wildcat Echo | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil You Dare | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Golden Soda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pork Chop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.