October 16, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feathers (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get On the Bus | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kartvelian (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’thelpfallin (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ivy League | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cider Apple (GB) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For the Good Times | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Emily | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Great One | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nolo Contesto | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positivity | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Took Charge | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Escape Route | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Invincibella (GB) | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savvy Gal | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swirling | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Gray | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nightlife | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vella | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Dime for Me | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Trick | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Got No Munny | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Established | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fore Left | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kneedeepinsnow | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surfing Star | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose’s Crystal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cedar’s Stars (GB) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unicorn | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zydeco Mama | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Heat | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Hy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mercy Mercy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kleen Karma | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Very Smart | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nan Elizabeth | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses R Blue | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Platonic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz My Princess | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Supersonic Flyer | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheila’s Charlie | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dual Reality | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Warren’s Showtime | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Vita | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cassie Belle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sedamar | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pulpit Rider | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anna Fantastic | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flame McGoon | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bonita Leona | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artisan Dancer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spoiled Rotten | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unwritten Code | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Respect the Ride | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Malia | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Attack | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Seven | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Candy On Top | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abhita | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ball Lass | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infinite Love | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warren’s Showgirl | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vivacious Vanessa | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peacehaven | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surely Spectacular | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keeping Tradition | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Precious Insight | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Workin Ninetofive | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Smilin Evie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ghostem | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Roubaix | 50.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.