October 21, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Back Inthat Action | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wish for Interest | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gaby’s Promise | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Building Home | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drop o’ Chocolate | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Isle | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Shasta | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arkansas Bling | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hanging Lake | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophisticated Girl | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Firstslate | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Miracle Girl | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | St Maria | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Shots | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missgreeley’ssong | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Keeping | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Amelia | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kittenofthe Court | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divided | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Barbara | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Trip | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Citizens Reward | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twiddle | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Visionofwildtimes | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Y Sol | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Hottie | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Spots | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Town | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Churchill | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fuhr Meo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scrapbook | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Akiane’s Soldier | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Linda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunnyonastormyday | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stormation | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Ten | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Theboyzhour | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Oneholylion | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | D’yeti Man | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warriors Gem | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | G Don’t Know | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Red Wine | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Zip | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crocodile Jacques | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Song N a Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bear Tooth Pass | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cyber Sneaker | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natural Jewel | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zionica | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enough Heart | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Diva | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Pronounce | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kleinmeister | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mean American | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Moneyhoney | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madelyn’s Moment | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Streamer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Cash | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invasors Wind | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Bullet | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chop Chop Charlie | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Dynasty | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laddie Boy | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steppin’ Outonher | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Repo | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mistake Present | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Madison’s Place | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orb’s Soul | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Big Money | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mariposa d’Oro | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friendly and Kind | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She Began Again | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Charm | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mary Jack | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seriously Sassy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tailorbeswift | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Explosively Hot | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Proud | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tecate Time | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bellamy Cay | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eve’s Delight | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lively Lea | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Amen | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shades of Truth | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart That Binds | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirited Beauty | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hesacalendarboy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Windsor Academy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shanghai Brother | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cowboy Brad | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toe Bandit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shady Grady | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youkillinmecat | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ooby Dooby | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ima Sunny Song | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Rage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Paralissfrmanalyss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | River’s Raging | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.