October 21, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Irish | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Magic Lady | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Better Call Mama | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Arcade | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Meliponini Bee | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Date Night Kisses | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Circle Home | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Light | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Treat for the Eyes | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vinegar Veggies | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Felons Only | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Quality Control | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boat Money | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Martharita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kamenshek | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 2.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eric’s Empire | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Erawan | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Demo Doctor | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Gave Back | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie A | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Rain | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trip to Cairo | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albertano | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cosa Mas Linda | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Bobbie | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Mojo | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncommon Valor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Cardo | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Francis X. | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baltimore Bud | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Izzybella | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Girl Named Jac | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love in Her Eyes | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hashtag Lucky | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Assume | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucre | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Dressing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Devilish Affair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honor My World | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Malibu Heaven | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bulldog Connection | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Mischief | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crack the Safe | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samui Sunset | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Olympic Gold | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strolled On By | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nicky Bear | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seville Row | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Striking It Lucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Antipoison | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jestful | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr Everything | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Especiallea | 3.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Who’s Counting | 4.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | El Rojo | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sing a Verse | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swing Your Sword | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bay | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Count the Shells | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gator Fifty Two | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Distant Thunder | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kickstarter | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where U B | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Josef Is Real | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Boss | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jackie the Joker | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Mosler | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amazon Queen | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Keen | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Middle Island | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Estate | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Psyche | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Can Run | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Preparefortakeoff | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Good Man | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weather Wiz | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Beautiful Wall | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Closer Look | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Universal Payday | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustoff | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Malice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Contraflow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hands Down | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Its Mr Poppi to U | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ever Clear | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pickin Sea Glass | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance On the Moon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carson and I | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chauffeur | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Amigo | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fomo | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sachmo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Tough | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.