October 21, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strike the Top | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courtly Manner | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soberano (FR) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gorgeous Kitten | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epilogue | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Destiny | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia’s Extortionist | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Uptown | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Am Prepared | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Deep Explorer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Capoeira | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Jade Delta | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Ring | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea of Diamonds | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Fences | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Popthechampagne | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Ascot | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drumgreenaghbridge | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Audition | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toosexyformypants | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honey Girl | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papa’s Silver | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silent Mamba | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Desert Poem | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ami’s Link | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz My Right | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Under the Eye | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Vixen | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamita’s Chica | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Naked Illusion | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slydini | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samurai Fighter | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Biondetti’s Choice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shakoo Makoo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bokermin | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tycoon | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | James Bay | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orphan Hallie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Executive Holiday | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ingordwetrust | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spanish Major | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pugin | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frac Attack | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Start Me Up | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mane Society | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Mybudget | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosebud’s Hope | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly So Pretty | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hell N Wild | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fact Checking | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ishiyaya | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dictate | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Erasmo’s Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shes the North | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justleaveitalone | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tempereya | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Practical Gizmo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Biscuit | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vespolina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Is There a Forest | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Society Girl | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thatsmykindanight | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rakasa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Question | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seamialaugh | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Appeal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Bayern | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whatswrongwithyou | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Secrets | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ready Hero | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Green Fleet | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Muchokova | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pound Green | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blast in the Snow | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Canadian Pharoah | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Infamous Covert | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gospel Way | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lumberjack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Green | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dancers Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Thieves | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.