October 22, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Expectation | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cupie Cutie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T R’s First | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Reality | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Spots | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abigails Takeover | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C C Takesover | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Bee | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love to Learn | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badgeri Candy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Harlans Warrior | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixieland Dream | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Legs | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fabulous Girl | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fianna Hills | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Sonrisa | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Allie Dancer | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Classic’s Omega | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bind Faith | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flat Out Fabio | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dude Drop Kid | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | King of Contraband | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Into Wishing | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Vodka Gimlet | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Sessy | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tambourine Star | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewmazing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Forged in Steel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Renati | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aphrodites Revenge | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saber Queen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whipum Naenae | 1.40 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Fashion | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thursday Morning | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crider Chase | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racelynn | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dianna’s Jet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yankee Be True | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stingray Slayer | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Target Vision | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancer On the Sand | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Lovely Charlie | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In for a Penny | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Linda Lou | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Here Comes Lovie | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Julio Choice | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Maid | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Archie | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skycraft | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moment | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Promising Shoes | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Steve | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greeley’s Dealer | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King of the Testo | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guitarzan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Purim King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hardcore Folklore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Sign of War | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Steal It Back | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saber Run | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chaching Bling | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crimson Storm | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gimmeasound | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Journey West | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Diablo Cat | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Lucky Break | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iron Banner | 20.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Averi Ever After | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Streak of Silver | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Serape | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wholelottamo | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buckley Bunny | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drop Dead Sexy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morewickedthanless | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Free Like a Girl | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jana | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Medley | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mylies Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Power Red | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Creative | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Magic | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leroy Jenkins | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Time Gem | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Off Sixes | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maroon Maniac | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muscadine | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Custom Kat | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive d’Oro | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dixieland Music | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy’s Prospector | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crooked Banker | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Braizen Fire | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pharoahswheel | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Conquistador Gold | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Soul | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Big Daddy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Classic | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bubba Smack | 2.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fully Persuaded | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thirtyeight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.