October 22, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Thunder Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Lorena | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sunsprite | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jilli Marie | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Meet the Soprano | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dejas Too | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cleomenes | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Equinox | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Imaginary Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Chasing Shadows | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fire Emoji | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Pagoda Ridge | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Umneyaat | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kerics Beauty | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Burmese | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Humorus Holiday | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Momma Carrie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Theskyisthelimit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Daredevil Is Back | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Lake Superior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Secret Reserve | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red River Rebel | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dragon’s Brew | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maakwa | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Master Spy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | All Canadian | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’m Dashing | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kosmonavt | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Crime | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Speed Way | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Survivor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | St. Paddy’s Daddy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Siakam | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samuel H | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gendragon | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Denmark | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quantum Velocity | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Society Joe | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party of No | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Time Gizmo | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Synchromesh | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Path | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | D’s Ben | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piccadilly Beau | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amberwood | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Boy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suitedconnected | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Illusion | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tracking Gold | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Plan | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lord of Legends | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Heat | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commander Tom | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Punch Charlie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Narcissistic | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Browning Island | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Better Boogie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Race for Pinks | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jojomar | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jocularity | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Icing | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Qian B C | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icomefromdowntown | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Final Strike | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Freedom | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Entry to Heaven | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunspear | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tara Dawn | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Karakontie Pat | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Snow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hiatus | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Band Coming | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Best and Final | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Core | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Personal Journey | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hip to Your Tricks | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Dynamic | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Milwaukee Fibolt | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Pele | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Four Bounce | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.