October 27, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | One Time Around | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legendary Gift | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cloudywithachance | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Ears | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turf Dancer | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cashew | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pi Yo Princess | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Priddis | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lily Be | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prayers Saved | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kiki Kat | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Galaxy | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ma Cher Amio | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Missbudlitelime | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Arkie | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marama | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Track Smart | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dontmeswithdiscat | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Empressive Tap | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Peach | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Custom | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forged in Steel | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Home Visit | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | More Memories | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeffrow | 9.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Credo | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scoring Drive | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Star | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodee Bodee | 9.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Last Appeal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash Me Back | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pat Me Down | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Player | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saponi | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Combat Command | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apriority Storm | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Friday’s Best | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Knight | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | B B Moody | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holy Sunrise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dealin’ Stelen | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy This | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Applewood | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paddock Pick | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Revolt | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Debonnaire Dude | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic (ARG) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tune My Guitar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Taken Back | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rockett Magic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy War | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Racin Prayer | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Knight’s Honor | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Kiki | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Noon’s Babygirl | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fasted | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Rachie Rach | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Racy Jaycee | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Sarahs Home | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Slow | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roverton | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Callthewolfe | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zyzack | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Fortunate Son | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta A. P. B. | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Irishman | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rock On Cowboy | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Max Bet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Preferred Prospect | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Justa Swinging | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Beaux | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tyler’s Admiral | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Paycheck | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | C H My Last Dollar | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twilite Liason | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Mistake | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brook Is Golden | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Getcha | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Rachel | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dewey’s Little Joe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Friendofthecourt | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Soul Song | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Available Star | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lt. Bonura | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Alterana | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prizeless | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knockalittlelouder | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Micajah | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pickens | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Win Ya Win | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Little Can | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Farewell Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Half a Bite | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eternal Force | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Town Drunk | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | War Veteran | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’rock | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southpine Gift | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freudian Sip | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buckets | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Diamond Palace | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crocodile Jacques | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Corvette Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tactician | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.