Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 28, 2021

October 28, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moon Party 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lily’s Lead 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Li Li Bear 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Hot Peppers 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Boo Boo Kitty 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Magnolia Road 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Magnolia Mist 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Strawberry Point 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Resident 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 I Kickn 1.60 2 4-1
3 3 Guaco 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Beaster 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Uncaptured King 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Gemo 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Exponential 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Political Riot 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Not So Easy 1.60 5.1 10-1
3 3 Finding Mischief 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Lord Darnley 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Big City Red 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Skywalking 4.50 6.1 11-1
8 8 Khozando 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Papi Bello 2.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Kuhl Star 1.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Singinthruthestorm 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Rojo Toro 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Wadada 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Market Dynamics 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Indeed Indeed 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Noble Present 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Brody’s Causeway 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Gioconda 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Black Silk 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Ala Turka 5.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Miss Bluebird 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Greatest Glory 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miracle Drug (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cupid Austin 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Solar Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Younes 10.00 10 19-1
8 8 The Cuban Missile 20.00 11 21-1
4 4 Rough Enough 4.00 11.6 22-1
1 1 Raw Honey 6.00 11.7 22-1
6 6 Had a Nice Weekend 12.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uno Tiger 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Boldness 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Palemma 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 King Cairo 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Chucky 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Seazan 3.50 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One More Score 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Trikitraki 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Barone Cesco 1.60 3 6-1
3 3 Full Disclosure 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Laynes Knight 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Laki Lio 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Concrete Glory 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Fuego Caliente 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Max K. O. 1.80 3.2 6-1
7 6 Go Mike 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Louder Than Bombs 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 J P Hellish 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Durocher 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Speargun 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 7 Star Weaver 20.00 8.7 17-1
6 6 Kroy 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Small Hope 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.