October 29, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | D T’s Dream | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Matts Fire N Ice | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allo Enry | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Son Carlos | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Dr. Benny | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Smart Analysis | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excellency | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamer’s Delight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Drifter | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Will the Thrill | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Younmehoneybunny | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salesgirl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Rebel Girl | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Wish for Madelyn | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party With Kassidy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be a Bandit | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two With a Ten | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St Maria | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Desert Glow | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Punch Fist | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flashy Meg | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valtesse | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Birdie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Custom Guitar | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Order Up Another | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Astro Flash | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yazhi Okeus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Satisfy U | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gettinintomischief | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valyrian | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Witch Doctor | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liam Skye | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trevilion | 1.40 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Jones | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sonoma Crush | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bet Again | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Egyptian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Suzie’s Dream | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Net a Bear | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carondelet | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inawic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snowball | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Balky | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Andiamo Giacomo | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Rog | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feller | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Sunrise | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fazio | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Spirit | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jonathan Who | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Traelee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shake It | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freightrainfreeman | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Strange | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Afleet Roger | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Waypoint | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Underdog | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mind On My Money | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tio Blas | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Olivia’s Duchess | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Crown | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harriet’s Dream | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jennifer’s Arch | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsnotmyjob | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mollys Flyin High | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maggie’s Return | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’wild Muffin | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Areyouinaband | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runpeggyrun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Irish Priority | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Gone Sweet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tapage | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Machine | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Halo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fredonian | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bow and Arrow | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Sign | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Brew | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minnesota Miracle | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | St. Louie Guy | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Metropol | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bitcoin Banker | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real City Speed | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wedington | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancin With Angels | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghost Cowboy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birch | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charco | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wherever He Is | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Far Beyond | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wilton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Frank Leroy | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smoky Topaz | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lone Star Express | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plutonium | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Akhnas | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Choice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr Elvin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sir Overanalyze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.