October 30, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Little Guera | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shotgun Annie | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madison Joy | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Scout | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mairsils First | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharons’moonshadow | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chambers Creek | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Touch of Gold | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Man | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ch Bern | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pre Heat | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ready Redding | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Rogue | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tin Delay | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Von Dom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miss You Jo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | J C’s in Town | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Famous Yankee | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Killingsworth | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoey’s Hippie | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prado’s Priority | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gtuone Buck | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Benbow | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smooth River | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Jr | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trophy Daddy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Bullet | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Distinct Quality | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poppi Is Smiling | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U Complete Me | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oops Wediditagain | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Lucky Man | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Blarney | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Maria Gone Wild | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Talty | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | D’oro Moon | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Honeysuckledelight | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Baby It’s You | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sunisa | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perpetuate | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sassy Emma | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Secret Melody | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Les and Madge | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Sin and Smoke | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 12 | Wishin and Hopin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Non Binding | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Monarch | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strummer | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kappa Hill | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Manassas | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glory to Me | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Diamond | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keen On Keenan | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenya Strike | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Verrazano Island | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Oak Hill Seniorita | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prissy Jaden | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earnestine N Hazel (IRE) | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Vision | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | It’s Time Baby | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Sparkling Jet | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Suni Laluni | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Us Second Cute Pie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Bay | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Exchange | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Farewell Time | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kenai Star | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chasin Gracie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Song | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Whenthedovescry | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Corot | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Club Soda | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rock N Sake | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D Two | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C’Mon Ve | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of a Storm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I’m Looking Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Maga Man | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Luwegee | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlettsblackjack | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Langs Day | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treys Midnite Moon | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Parole | 1.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaktomeoflove | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Underpressure | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cause She’s Mine | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Sweep | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hallajoori | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Russian Roulette | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Aurelia Factor | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Watrugonnadokaren | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Red Bel | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Four Princesses | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point of Victory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Broke Financing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Prado | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Letters | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Thunder | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leyton’s Hippie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sing Loud | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cohere | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock City Rocket | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magician’s Holiday | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Perigee | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby Boots | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chaching Bling | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.