November 3, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sayanotherprayer | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Untamed Money | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Lola | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Light as a Whisper | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizindy Queen | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vallejo | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roaring Quinn | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amber Pass | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Takenforgranted | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Coy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dontforgetrdreams | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Poseidon’s Magic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zion’s Call | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starvictory | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Pulpit | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | And Yet Another | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C. F. Shelauh | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Datswhatilike | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last to Know | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Brass Monkey | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Etbauer’s Secret | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Volition | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Sky Flash | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preoccupied | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sadie’s Light | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double You | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Blue Grass | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Anatole | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goodrockinalvin | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speedofthespeed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brimestone Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Jazz It Up | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yes Bab | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rusty Cage | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McLean | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Carbon Stryker | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King of the Court | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Bro | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Replete | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marvins Gold | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moro Savage | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ted Striker | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cole’s Sensation | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wheels Turning | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Brave | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Mark | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flashlightsecurity | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moro Pharoah | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Symbol Azteca | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Actifdash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sniveling | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Knox | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild One Forever | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saving Argument | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muscadine | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bode’s Light | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maroon Maniac | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trappe the Cat | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Streamer | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fashion Merit | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyztap | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eurorose | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madelyn’s Moment | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mave Runner | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Harborage | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dobby Sue | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gifted Talent | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Velvet Night | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Shots | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tensas Toddy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Vista | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Singinginthewind | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bistraya | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Afleet | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Jam | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meditate | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rifle Man | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Much Class | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three Run Homer | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Miss Lein | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kick N Kiss | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storied Trip | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Siren | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Milagros | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Izeonpoint | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Frenchie Frou Frou | 8.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hoyam | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeweled Crown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Swanee Beach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hopeitsamiracle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Frank | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Porque Si | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Priority | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Molly | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cyber Gun | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitkat Kitten | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Clever Prince | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hip Four O Four | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ide Like Hawaii | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Brewster | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Too Tuff to Cry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Muletrain | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.