November 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | True Red Slew | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anotherinthefire | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Envoys Legacy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Invader | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Achancetowin | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Friend | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lukes Secret | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Blues | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Hadley | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kimberly’s Jackpot | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Louisiana’s Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Peach | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sebs Princess | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Little Jen | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Girl Thirsty | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Billie K | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Sucre | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kodiak Sky | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kris T. | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Luna Y Sol | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yankee Be True | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In for a Penny | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Is Hot | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twn Ms Midship | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Maid | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alhambra Palace | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Julio Choice | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Miracle Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gottabegolden | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Shots | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Destiny | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace’s Gal | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Safe Keeping | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Collision | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mabelee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreamit | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trip | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Zmor Aristocat | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Limbo’s Promise | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Preacher | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drewzano | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Curtin’s Up | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Privacy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Coco Tiger | 1.80 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toni’s Star | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Double Barrel Man | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Hooray Austin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Driver | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nosbor | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sailing Jett | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flashburn | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shar’s Treasure | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Freed | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jr’s Sauvage | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moonshinerboy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Preferred Prospect | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tap Attack | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Leo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | King Nate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Humphrey | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Forevamo | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Half a Bite | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Money Cometh | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Such | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | October Surprise | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | End Zone | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Hero of the Hour | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Corvette Spirit | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Laughing Latinos | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Taken Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Giant Influence | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Call | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Away | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Sarah’s Passion | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dress Shopping | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Hypernova | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Schiff’s Corner | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Grand Prize | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Poquitomas | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saint Kennedy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tourrista | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | World of Wonder | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seriously Sassy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Limitless Mazie | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Orb’s Soul | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Charm | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miami Rose | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Hot Toddy | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pago Querido | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Puye Timing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Boujie One | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Mic Tiesun | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rene’s Prince | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Elisher | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirtyeight | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brush With Caution | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tigard Babes | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lullaby Bandit | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Da’money Alarm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ima Sunny Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crooked Banker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.