November 4, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Saw | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soup Spoon | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afikoman | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olympic Fencer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Music Hour | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Jet | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Signature | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Libertyinblue | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Deliberate | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greyshott | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steel Wool | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Scout | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Load | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Easy Road | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Dobles | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Gentleman | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dazzling Diva | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Veri Unified | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Intense Company (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jimmy Is a Breeze | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courtingcourtney | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phil in Echo | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Carrycomb | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tudor Peak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Melrose Star | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fancysoul | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crumlin Bird | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Ring | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leaveyoubreathless | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | El Valor | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smart N Quick | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Delightful Dreamer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Honey Girl | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Bovery | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born to Be Good | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Royal City Reign | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Matthaus | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Westlodge Intrigue | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Good Witch | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Big Mistake | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wake Up Maggie | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Lily | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rosiejewel Dancer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gimbala | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Simply Mysterious | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finest Jewel | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pino in a Purse | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leon Azul | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Ruby | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ima Beast | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starlight Ridge | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hit and Run | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sterling Speed | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Asha Ironborn | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marais | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mrs. Del | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Speedy Lynn | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Mamba | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keen Samurai | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ben Lomond | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letthebighossroll | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | R U Watchingbud | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kuduro | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barilko | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Agnelli | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tinker Ring | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Melody | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suitedconnected | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Ninja Princess | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Relentless Ruby | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Silent But Violent | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Mia’s Authority | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tropospheric | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Theskyisthelimit | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Lime Squash | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Momma Carrie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Audition | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Mia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | La Bestia | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Slashs Red Diamond | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parable | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Cliff’s Head | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.