November 6, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sangria City | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m All Shook Up | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Queen | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mama Said No | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jusaboxachocolates | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | American Reality | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tootie | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deal Me a Penny | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sin and Smoke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mark With an E | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Anna Clause | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Delta Moon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nin to Win | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Zee | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Ending | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aphrodites Revenge | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eponher | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s My Priority | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Tensas | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gold Merritt | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justa Buster | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Indiscreet | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brimestone Kid | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Priority | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Braizen Fire | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fluffpoint | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judgmental | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedofthespeed | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Permanentdetention | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cavatina | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Indefensible | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Waita Minute Hayes | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Simply Wicked | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Exclaim | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Screwball | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Creme de Bali | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Suspect the Worst | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Queen Shasta | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joe G’s Payback | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marquee Moment | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hurricane Tizway | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Accustomed to Hope | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Mallory | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Every Day | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Flashback | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Underrated | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get Directions | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cape Town Willy | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quana Dude | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Buffalo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honorarian | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Homeland Messa | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Always Late | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Love Ike | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mean Cruiser | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Move It | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Special Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Free Indeed | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run Away Son | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Theboyzhour | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sr. Clarky | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allthewaywithtaye | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Wonder Run | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Born Again George | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knockalittlelouder | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Available Star | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Priority | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Costa Sugar | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grace of David | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Honest N Lucky | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | River Deputy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Aggie Bling | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sworn Silence | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nana’s Joy | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Panterita | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ruby Sioux | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charzee Baby | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wayfaring Stranger | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aw Shucks | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunnyonastormyday | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crocodile Jacques | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Peak | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Cookie | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Therunawayrocket | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nate’s Way | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Zip | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’m a Special Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paralissfrmanalyss | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Solo Dolo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ooby Dooby | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Matter | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gildersleeve | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon Wrath | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sodbuster | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zongland | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Actor | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unspoken Memories | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ima Sunny Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Conquistador Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.