November 12, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | G’s Storm | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | As Thunder Heart | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Bonz | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Griffin | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Sarge | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blaze of Gray | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiplash Willy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Native Cat | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hopeitsamiracle | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moorac | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swanee Beach | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caught His Eye | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Goodnight Gracie | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Olivia’s Duchess | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dixieland Dream | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kick N Kiss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Cpriority | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Seehoss | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lone Star Express | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Frank Leroy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run to Blade | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A Star Is Born Now | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | It’s a Bird | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Touchdown Joe | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Mr Elvin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Apache Tears | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Silver Chalice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sign of War | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grand Prado | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinlee’s Song | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Thunder | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ebony Flash | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perfect Perigee | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Custom Deelite | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diablo Cat | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty Protection | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Toe | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Zenucci | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bluewater Cat | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Parlay Pete | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Appeal | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Mesa | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Top Brass | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Laughing Latinos | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Sweeping Edge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Fort Knox | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jackman | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charlies Ticket | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dusty Boy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elusive d’Oro | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Drewhustle | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh My Aching Arch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Beauty Boy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Common Law Cat | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mucho Marvin | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Your Time’s Coming | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Outlaw X. | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Interactif Moment | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Half Ours N Stormy | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Natealyze | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Treasure Chest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shes Our Fastest | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Russian Roulette | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Becca’s Rocket | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boerne | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eileen Alexandra | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kela’s Turn | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Three Ks | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charli Michael | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Fitz | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On Tilt | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Proud Boy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Metal Count | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Fire | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Richards Dream | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crown Rocket | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Classic Greeley | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jack Be Quick | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southpine Gift | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trevilion | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mistake Present | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Paddock Pick | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zipzaptime | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thats It Imleaving | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sonoma Crush | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Set Hut | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Forevamo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.