November 12, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vandalia | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kit Can Run | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Girl | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Cupid | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barrett | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Rock | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Party | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chess Not Checkers | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sir Saffer | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Boss | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rhymes Like Dimes | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mastership | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dara’s Boy | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Untwisted | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shea D Capture | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alydarius | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Factor | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Intentions | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glovanna | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josefa | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afficionado (FR) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Generic Mark | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Till Dawn | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Domore | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full of Attitude | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indyzan | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Wood | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Numeric | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stare If You Must | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flor de Plata | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bali Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Livin At the Beach | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Masterpiece | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charge It Jenn | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keitany | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shadilee | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Cara Bonita | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Cloverly | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Coco Pebbles | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ten Pin Ally | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Alittleloveandluck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hotter Than July | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Laniakea Storm | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ukiyo | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ticket to Heaven | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cascade Park | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Said Hey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ms Big Spring | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salsa Rita | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Distinctly Blue | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rain | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Miami | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Domineer | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dahlonega | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kozy Dreams | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Steel City Dude | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Irishman | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pharaoh’s Prophecy | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vancouver d’Oro | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Lea Run | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just So Ya Know | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eternal Rest | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eye of the Temple | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peter D | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pergola | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Giantsbane | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Risk Vs Reward | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Never Say Know (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luigi’s Spirit | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | California Frolic | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadet Corps | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Solar Tap | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bigboystoys | 50.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | October Time | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Astral Weeks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.