November 12, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Utterly Courageous | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rona | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peace Out | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Can Do It | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Swing | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Monster Rising | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver’s Girl | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winked | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Away to Return | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Polish Cookie | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Watch Me Disappear | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chesapeake Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | In Her Cups | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flingueur (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Beaucoup Bell | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mattitude | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Live Aid | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party At Page’s | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Behind the Couch | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hope Has a Name | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrapper Rule | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucre | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Owen’s Pleasure | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mending | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flava’s Dream | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshineanrainbows | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortes | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Graysful | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Memphis Mafia | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Combat Queen | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solid Gold Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Robey’s Boy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valued Notion | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 15 | Where Paradise Lay | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blessed Arion | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stone Courageous | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Showtime Cat | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Dalton | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oldies But Goodies | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Town of Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lucky Jaime | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sky’s Not Falling | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Love You Much | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Hay Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Where You Was | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Ziggy Mon | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Love Is Strong | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fearless Ideas | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dial Emma Reilly | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suzzette Star | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot to Party | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kabikeka | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Lassie | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adabel | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s All Courage | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Jack | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missin the Big Dog | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Workin On a Dream | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Act | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zabracadabra | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballagh Rocks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Street Copper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gunnison | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cannon’s Roar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hawkish | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Papal Law | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ellarouge | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Betty | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tipsy Tourist | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time After Time | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arbela | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can I Ever | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Bochinche | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Biz | 2.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Super Sally | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet’s Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Frame That Dame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Celestial Diva | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Expect the Sunrise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gypsy’s Image | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bad Temper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | C Two | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Superiority | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Middle Island | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derwin’s Starlet | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Huntress | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better Call Mama | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinegar Veggies | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Estate | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Can Run | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Determined Truth | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Juanita R | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Pharoah | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Iron Pearls | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Thunder | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speakerit | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Caps | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mint Game | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Curlee Fox | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stringfella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dragon Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Daddy’s Cozy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Maryland Pride | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Be Yourself | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Director (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sweet Talking Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Straight Up Guy | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.