November 13, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roses R Blue | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Strike | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Dazzler | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheila’s Charlie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Circles | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supersonic Flyer | 2.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wipe the Slate | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love My Jimmy | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherubic Factor | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ingest | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surplus | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovesick Blues | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Don Looney | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Da Kine | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Well | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eight Makar | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Funkenstein | 2.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Straus’s Place | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Try to Capture | 3.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inesperado | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm the Gate | 30.00 | 13 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Primer Dimer | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Impossible Task | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Armor | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go On | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arham | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willy the Cobbler | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Dance | 2.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Issa Court | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Finnley’s Kitten | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bell | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Kid | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piazzetta | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Austin James | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Channel | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chao Mar | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Renegade Princess | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir London | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wesleyan | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brady Boy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Air Combat | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Corleone | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War At Sea | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pec Tacular | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Newgrange | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bron and Brow | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | See Through It | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bound to Bet | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too Late | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Austin’s Boy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crossword | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Tigre Terrible | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aligato | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Bench Judge | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Psycho Dar | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Riding With Dino | 2.50 | 14.9 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Desi Arnaz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Under the Stars | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eda | 0.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonito’s | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Endless Thirst | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady T | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ottawa Fire (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ox Bridge | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muay Thai (IRE) | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inch | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocks and Salt | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Bye Putin | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cosmo | 6.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bud Knight | 4.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Your Jets | 6.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bold Voyager | 20.00 | 20.6 | 39-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.